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  • What the bear case on AI is missing
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TwentyFour Blog

Labour market the driving force for the Fed
Dec 01 2022 TwentyFour Blog

Labour market the driving force for the Fed

Following Chairman Powell’s speech last night, George Curtis looks at what the latest labour market data means for the Fed’s war on inflation.
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24_2021-11-22_Blog_Teaser
Nov 22 2022 TwentyFour Blog

Highest starting yields since ‘08 predict strong five-year returns

Chris Bowie explains why he believes analysing starting yields can explain improved returns over the next five years
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Reasons to be constructive on extension risk
Nov 15 2022 TwentyFour Blog

Reasons to be constructive on extension risk

Telefonica’s reopening of the corporate hybrid market is further evidence that large issuers with proven track records and strong financials will call their bonds even if it looks uneconomic to do so, says Johnathan Owen.
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Hint of cooling inflation can restore stability
Nov 14 2022 TwentyFour Blog

Hint of cooling inflation can restore stability

With a US inflation print finally coming in below expectations, can investors start to picture decent returns again? Or will this latest relief rally prove another false dawn?
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ABS liquidity is there when you need it most
Nov 11 2022 TwentyFour Blog

ABS liquidity is there when you need it most

With the UK pension fund liquidity crisis sparking heavy selling in ABS, Pauline Quirin looks at how the market absorbed all the supply, and which investors have stepped in sensing a buying opportunity.
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Credit quality deterioration is inevitable
Nov 09 2022 TwentyFour Blog

Credit quality deterioration is inevitable

Credit metrics will continue to deteriorate in the next year or two, but European high yield bonds in particular are pricing in too severe a downturn, says Mark Holman
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Nov 08 2022 TwentyFour Blog

Healthy premiums drive big day for primary markets

With well over €10bn of new bonds sold by European banks and corporates on Monday, Felipe Villarroel analyses the pricing and looks at the patterns that usually emerge when primary markets reopen.
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Are Europe’s winter prospects warming up?
Nov 07 2022 TwentyFour Blog

Are Europe’s winter prospects warming up?

With European energy prices well off their peaks, Felipe Villarroel breaks down the myriad factors impacting the region’s economic prospects in the next few months.
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To call or not to call – who decides?
Nov 02 2022 TwentyFour Blog

To call or not to call – who decides?

With a surprising statement issued by the Australian regulator, Eoin Walsh looks at the wider implications for the calling of AT1 bonds
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Nov 01 2022 TwentyFour Blog

UK risk premium looks too steep with stability restored

With Rishi Sunak and Jeremy Hunt leading a more fiscally conservative UK government, Johnathan Owen checks in on sterling asset valuations and argues the UK premium is overcompensating for underlying risks.
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ECB echoes subtle change in central bank tone
Oct 27 2022 TwentyFour Blog

ECB echoes subtle change in central bank tone

While central banks remain committed to battling inflation with big rate hikes, George Curtis detects a clear change in tone which has seen market expectations of terminal rates tumble in recent days.
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Oct 27 2022 TwentyFour Blog

Here’s why private equity is buying bonds over ‘real’ assets

With private equity firms active buyers of CLOs and CMBS in recent weeks, Aza Teeuwen explains why these investors are shunning physical assets in favour of asset-backed bonds.
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