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     Markets can’t rely on midterms to change course of Iran war
    Markets can’t rely on midterms to change course of Iran war
    Prediction markets suggest the Democrats are capable of gaining a majority in both the Senate and the House of Representatives at the US midterm elections on November 3, with Polymarket putting the chance of a “sweep” at 64% as of Friday morning.

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Multi-Sector Bonds

Opportunities within European credit
Aug 02 2024 Market Update

Opportunities within European credit

Positioning and fixed income markets have remained quite tricky this year, however credit markets have continued to perform very strongly. TwentyFour Asset Management's Eoin Walsh, discusses why he thinks there is opportunity within European credit despite the rate headwinds and pull back on some of the aggressive rate cutting expectations markets had at the start of the year.
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This strange economic cycle is finally starting to look familiar
Jul 10 2024 TwentyFour Blog

This strange economic cycle is finally starting to look familiar

There is little disagreement among investors and economists that the last few years have been highly unusual in many respects. An inflationary shock in developed markets, one of the fastest rate hiking cycles on record, the worst year in decades for government bonds (2022), and mild recessions with no movement in unemployment are just a few of the dynamics that have strayed from recent norms.
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/insights/the-southgate-bond-strategy-no-subs-in-the-second-half
Jul 02 2024 TwentyFour Blog

The Southgate bond strategy – no subs in the second half

For any fixed income investors that follow the England football team, the plan for H2 2024 may feel somewhat familiar – no substitutions in the second half.
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Global headlines aplenty but trends continue
Jun 10 2024 TwentyFour Blog

Global headlines aplenty but trends continue

For the fixed income fanatics amongst us, June was always going to be one for the books with all three of the major central banks meeting, elections, and continued data.
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 ECB wage data - can I get a raise?
May 17 2024 TwentyFour Blog

ECB wage data - can I get a raise?

The European Central Bank (ECB) will almost certainly start their rates cutting cycle next month. Supportive inflation data and clear guidance from the governing council has driven market implied probabilities of a June cut to almost 100%, with little in the way to derail that.
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Banking on climate change when it comes to Fossil Fuel Financing
May 13 2024 White Paper

Banking on change when it comes to Fossil Fuel Financing

The term ‘fossil fuel financing’ refers to the provision of capital (including loans, investments, and other forms of capital) to companies involved in the exploration, extraction and production of coal, oil and natural gas.
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Back to Basics: Bank Capital
Apr 30 2024 Event Replay

Back to Basics: Bank capital

In this Back to Basics webinar, Jakub Lichwa (Portfolio Management) from our Multi-Sector Bond team gave their valuable insights into the importance of maintaining sufficient levels of bank capital to uphold financial stability.
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Don't forget about money supply measures M1 and M2
Apr 25 2024 TwentyFour Blog

Don't forget about money supply measures M1 and M2

Money supply measures such as M1 and M2 enjoyed a relatively brief period of fame and glory just after the pandemic.
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Labour markets strength continues
Apr 08 2024 TwentyFour Blog

Labour markets strength continues

Labour market data in the US was stronger than expected on Friday. US Treasuries reacted accordingly with a 10 bps sell-off with Gilts and Bunds moving in the same direction but in a calmer fashion.
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US Credit shows healthy supply and demand dynamics
Feb 12 2024 TwentyFour Blog

US Credit shows healthy supply and demand dynamics

US corporate bond primary markets have had a robust start to the year as both Investment Grade (IG) and High Yield (HY) companies have looked to take advantage of the recent rally in rates and spreads that we have experienced since Fed Chairman Powell's December FOMC comments up until his more cautious stance in the January meeting.
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The Rodney blog 2024: strong returns ahead
Dec 07 2023 TwentyFour Blog

Fixed Income outlook 2024: strong returns ahead

After a horrible year for financial markets in 2022, the macro-outlook for 2023 had a lot of consensus views, with most predicting a much better year ahead, helped by supportive rate cuts from central banks and positive returns from both government bonds and credit.  
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Ford’s upgrade helps the US high-yield market to motor
Dec 04 2023 TwentyFour Blog

Ford’s upgrade helps the US high-yield market to motor

Ford reclaims its investment-grade status after almost four years in high-yield territory. Chris Holman's latest blog reveals why this isn’t just a win for the car company and will have a positive impact on the entire US high-yield market.
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