The TwentyFour Blog

With commercial real estate seen to be in the eye of the storm as interest rates rise, Aza Teeuwen looks at the potential impact on CMBS and CRE loans and highlights where valuations could be most at risk.

European ABS is enjoying a spurt of new issuance and a parallel rally in spreads, with investors having entered the new year with cash to invest and buoyed by renewed hope around inflation and monetary policy, says Pauline Quirin.

With projections for European growth and inflation being hastily revised in early 2023, the region’s bonds are still paying investors a premium that may not be around for long, says Dillon Lancaster.

With many market participants fearing the impact of quantitative tightening (QT), Johnathan Owen looks at one central bank’s early experience of actively selling bonds to investors.

After shocking investors in November by floating the idea of deferring its hybrid coupons, AroundTown has begun 2023 in similar fashion with a senior bond tender, says Pierre Beniguel.

Recent employment data suggests the US economy may escape with a soft landing, a welcome boost to market sentiment in the early days of 2023, says Eoin Walsh.

In the second instalment of a two-part blog on the UK housing market, Shilpa Pathak stress tests UK RMBS to determine how high mortgage defaults would have to get before bondholders are impacted.

With the reopening of primary bond markets in Europe being met with strong demand, the AT1 market is seeing an overdue shift away from pricing to perpetuity, says Eoin Walsh

With fixed income starting yields at their highest level for a decade, George Curtis expects increasing demand for investment grade bonds to boost the market as we enter 2023.

In our latest blog, Pierre Beniguel looks at the implications of AroundTown’s corporate hybrid non-call and the shock announcement that it will also consider deferring coupon payments.

Higher rates mean the income available on AAA RMBS bonds is eight times what it was at the start of this year, and growing demand for this floating rate asset class is clear, says Kevin Law.

In our annual ‘Rodney Blog’, Eoin Walsh says that with rates now offering both yield and downside mitigation, and credit yields at near-decade highs, fixed income investors could enjoy strong returns in 2023