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    Flash Fixed Income: Are there more “cockroaches” in credit?
    October brought the first serious bout of volatility in corporate bond markets for some time, with two high-profile US bankruptcies raising fears of a more systemic issue in credit. We anticipate more such defaults in the coming months, though we expect they will remain isolated cases given fundamentals across the market still look healthy.

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US

20 Jan 2022 Market Update

Three strategies for beating inflation with bonds

Inflation was the dominant theme across financial markets in 2021, and we think it is likely to be a big driver of returns again in 2022.
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Why so quiet at the Bank of England?
18 Jan 2022 TwentyFour Blog

Why so quiet at the Bank of England?

It has been a very interesting start to the year in the rates sector of the market.
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7 Jan 2022 TwentyFour Blog

Light at the end of the inventory tunnel

As we enter the third year of the pandemic, most market participants are asking themselves (once again) if this will be the year when supply chain issues finally abate.
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Comprehending the latest Treasury spike Teaser
6 Jan 2022 TwentyFour Blog

Comprehending the latest Treasury spike

Given the swiftness of the Fed’s pivot we think risks are tilted towards the central bank doing more and not less. We wouldn’t even rule out a 50bp rate hike at some point.
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FOMC: Hard to shake sense the Fed is behind the curve
14 Dec 2021 TwentyFour Blog

FOMC: Hard to shake sense the Fed is behind the curve

Jerome Powell’s recent testimony to the Senate Banking Committee, in which he said the Fed would discuss a faster taper of its asset purchases at December’s FOMC meeting, has led to intense speculation that we could see a move this week.
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10 Dec 2021 TwentyFour Blog

When will labour market strength JOLT Treasuries higher?

The labour market in the US shows little sign of weakening, despite the huge number of jobs already created this year.
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Policy, economy and markets must converge in 2022 teaser
2 Dec 2021 Market Update

Policy, economy and markets must converge in 2022

Shortly after publishing his annual Rodney Blog, TwentyFour CEO Mark Holman sat down with Tom Porter to discuss the biggest calls fixed income investors will have to make in 2022, and explain why he believes the current disconnect between monetary policy, the economy and the markets cannot last for long.
Watch now
Why central bank policy errors should be top of your 2022 worry list
30 Nov 2021 Market Update

Five questions for bond markets in 2022

How do investors deal with inflation? Do central banks know what they’re doing? And does anyone know where Treasuries are heading? CEO Mark Holman tackles the bond market’s biggest questions as he looks ahead to 2022.
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The Rodney Blog 2021: Policy, economy and markets must converge teaser
29 Nov 2021 TwentyFour Blog

The Rodney Blog 2022: Policy, economy and markets must converge

What we are currently experiencing is a disconnect between monetary policy, the economy and the markets, a disconnect that in our view will struggle to survive much longer.
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How swaps can reduce rates risk as we move towards tightening
26 Nov 2021 TwentyFour Blog

How swaps can reduce rates risk as we move towards tightening

With rising government bond yield curves one of the biggest concerns for fixed income fund managers going into 2022, Eoin Walsh points to interest rate swaps as one option for reducing the rates risk of a portfolio without impacting its credit exposure.
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2022 outlooks could make for a sobering December
24 Nov 2021 TwentyFour Blog

2022 outlooks could make for a sobering December

This week the team at TwentyFour have been busy compiling our 2022 fixed income outlook, which will be published next week. There is no doubt we are confronted with a challenging set of circumstances, which will provide investors – not just in fixed income – with headwinds in the year ahead, and in particular we think during the first half.
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11 Nov 2021 TwentyFour Blog

The maths of the US labour market

Before the pandemic struck in February 2020, there were 159 million employed Americans; by the end of April that year, 26 million jobs disappeared. Since then, politicians and central bankers have focused on recovering all jobs lost to the pandemic fallout and returning to pre-COVID levels.
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