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    Finding returns through curve positioning
    Finding returns through curve positioning
    With spreads well below long term averages and government bond curves pricing in what central banks are likely to do in the next few quarters, opportunities for capital gains through spread compression or sustained rallies in government bonds appear to be limited.

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Jan 13 2020 TwentyFour Blog

Record Inflows Give New Energy to US Bond Market

While the European bond market was setting records last week, the US market has also begun 2020 with a flurry of transactions backed up by record inflows.

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Jan 09 2020 TwentyFour Blog

Heavy Supply Meets Heavy Demand

Kicking off the new year, we expected the new issue market to be very active and we certainly haven’t been disappointed, with the good momentum created at the end of last year – thanks to the US and China reaching a ‘phase one’ agreement and the resounding victory by the Conservatives paving the way for Brexit negotiations to move forward – allowing pent-up borrowing demand to hit the market.
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Jan 06 2020 TwentyFour Blog

Newell: Fallen Angel to Rising Star?

Fixed income investors are well versed in the risks of ‘fallen angels’, investment grade companies whose bonds tumble in value once they are downgraded to high yield.
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Dec 20 2019 TwentyFour Blog

New Regulation Likely to Hurt HY Liquidity

The regulations governing market activity have been constantly evolving, but the ESMA directive implementing the Central Securities Depositories Regulation (CSDR) will potentially have quite an impact on traded credit.
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Dec 17 2019 TwentyFour Blog

Carney to Leave UK Banks on Solid Ground

The Bank of England (BoE) on Monday published its latest financial stability report and the results of its 2019 bank stress tests, and declared that the UK financial system is well prepared for even a worst-case Brexit and consequent trade war.
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Dec 16 2019 TwentyFour Blog

CoreCivic Shows ESG Will Take No Prisoners

"One group of issuers that appears vulnerable to us as we move into a new decade is those facing increased investor scrutiny due to Environmental, Social and Governance (ESG) factors. The case of CoreCivic, a listed REIT in the US, is a good example"
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Dec 13 2019 TwentyFour Blog

What Next For Sterling Bonds?

Overnight markets have had significant news to digest, with two of the major geopolitical hurdles that had been worrying investors being removed.
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Dec 11 2019 TwentyFour Blog

European HY Default Rates Doubling No Reason to Panic

"Where defaults get to exactly depends on a few things, but we can certainly analyse where we think the problem areas could be, whether cracks are already starting to appear, and what investors might do to protect themselves."
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Dec 09 2019 Outlook

Fixed Income 2020: A Brave Old World

Twelve months ago, as we wrote our annual review and forecast for 2019, backing 10-year German government bonds that were yielding just 0.24% at the time to perform would have been a brave call.
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Dec 04 2019 TwentyFour Blog

Trade war volatility maintains grip on bonds

By now investors should be getting used to the ever more frequent hiccups in the trade negotiations between the US and the rest of the world.
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Nov 26 2019 TwentyFour Blog

Data decline eases for Germany and US

"In some parts of the global economy, we might be seeing a bottom in terms of low activity levels." TwentyFour's Felipe Villarroel discusses the factors behind these improving trends.
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Nov 22 2019 TwentyFour Blog

NIBC leading the way in ESG

“NIBC, has been involved in ESG/CSR focused lending in Europe for some time, and is the first manager to issue what we might call an ESG CLO." Elena Rinaldi discusses why in terms of ESG, NIBC would receive a high score from us.
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