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    Iran, energy shocks and the inflation challenge
    Iran, energy shocks and the inflation challenge
    As the US-Israeli military operation in Iran enters its fourth day, markets are continuing to react to rhetoric from both sides and attempting to gauge how long the conflict may last and what the impact will be on the local and global economies.

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Fixed Income

How many credit cheerleaders are on the sidelines?
Sep 25 2024 TwentyFour Blog

How many credit cheerleaders are on the sidelines?

The quantity of cash parked in money market funds has been at the forefront of investors’ minds for some time now. The surge of inflows for these short term risk-free instruments as rates rose was no surprise considering they now yield more than a single-B rated high yield corporate was offering just a few years ago.
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The cutting cycle begins
Sep 19 2024 TwentyFour Blog

The cutting cycle begins

Uncertainty is over, it was a 50 basis points (bps) move. As we mentioned in our previous blog, the most important take away from the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting would be their assessment of the economy.
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Fed preview: Look beyond the size of the cut
Sep 17 2024 TwentyFour Blog

Fed preview: Look beyond the size of the cut

While the majority of headlines have concerned whether the Fed will do 25bp or 50bp to kick off its cutting cycle, we think this is only one part of the discussion – and not necessarily the most important one.
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Powell’s Masterplan allows for earlier intervention
Aug 27 2024 TwentyFour Blog

Powell’s Masterplan allows for earlier intervention

In his headlining speech at the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium, Federal Reserve (Fed) chair Jerome Powell’s message to the market was clear.
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US inflation makes case for (small) September rate cut
Aug 14 2024 TwentyFour Blog

US inflation makes case for (small) September rate cut

Recent US Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation data brought good news for investors and central banks.
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A couple of non-recessionary surveys
Aug 06 2024 TwentyFour Blog

A couple of non-recessionary surveys

With US economic data driving very large moves in the last few days, we think it is worth highlighting two data releases that were published yesterday. The Institute of Supply Management (ISM) Services and the Senior Loan Officer Survey spoke of an economy that is stronger than some of the recent price action might suggest.
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Labour market dents soft landing sentiment
Aug 05 2024 TwentyFour Blog

Labour market dents soft landing sentiment

If you were on vacation last week, your holiday blues wouldn’t have been helped when you looked at your screens this morning, given how quickly sentiment has changed, mainly on the back of one data point.
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Duration deliberation
Aug 02 2024 Market Update

The duration deliberation

TwentyFour Asset Management's Chris Bowie discusses the underweight duration across all of our outcome driven strategies, how this phase is now coming to an end, and why we are beginning to increase our interest rate duration in all of our funds.
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Opportunities within European credit
Aug 02 2024 Market Update

Opportunities within European credit

Positioning and fixed income markets have remained quite tricky this year, however credit markets have continued to perform very strongly. TwentyFour Asset Management's Eoin Walsh, discusses why he thinks there is opportunity within European credit despite the rate headwinds and pull back on some of the aggressive rate cutting expectations markets had at the start of the year.
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BoE: Lender of (not so) last resort
Jul 30 2024 TwentyFour Blog

BoE: Lender of (not so) last resort

Last week, the Bank of England (BoE) published a speech by its Executive Director for Markets, Victoria Saporta, in which she laid out the central bank’s evolving role as a lender to the UK banking system. More specifically, the speech highlighted how the BoE expects to see UK banks having a greater reliance on its funding facilities going forward.
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Strong UK savings bode well for bonds
Jul 25 2024 TwentyFour Blog

Strong UK savings bode well for bonds

Excess savings have been at the centre of heated debates among economists and market participants ever since the pandemic.
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Politics won’t trump data for the Fed
Jul 19 2024 TwentyFour Blog

Politics won’t trump data for the Fed

The last few weeks have seen former President Donald Trump establish a lead over current President Joe Biden across polls in the run-up to November’s US election. Even though it is early days and a lot can change before November (including the Democrat candidate), it is worth considering what a second Trump term might mean for the world economy and for fixed income markets.
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