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    Finding returns through curve positioning
    Finding returns through curve positioning
    With spreads well below long term averages and government bond curves pricing in what central banks are likely to do in the next few quarters, opportunities for capital gains through spread compression or sustained rallies in government bonds appear to be limited.

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Investment Grade

Banking on climate change when it comes to Fossil Fuel Financing
May 13 2024 White Paper

Banking on change when it comes to Fossil Fuel Financing

The term ‘fossil fuel financing’ refers to the provision of capital (including loans, investments, and other forms of capital) to companies involved in the exploration, extraction and production of coal, oil and natural gas.
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The Rodney blog 2024: strong returns ahead
Dec 07 2023 TwentyFour Blog

Fixed Income outlook 2024: strong returns ahead

After a horrible year for financial markets in 2022, the macro-outlook for 2023 had a lot of consensus views, with most predicting a much better year ahead, helped by supportive rate cuts from central banks and positive returns from both government bonds and credit.  
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Why staying in cash could cost you 10 to 30% over the next three years
Nov 01 2023 Market Update

Why staying in cash could cost you 10% to 30%

While bonds are once again finding their feet, investors have found themselves sitting on cash balances of 30% to 50%. This capital preservation trade has made perfect sense, but does it still make sense as we reach terminal rates?
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​ It is our view that without a doubt 2022 was a year to forget for the bond market. Whether you held government bonds, high end corporate credit or riskier high yield paper, you would have taken a knock as steep increases in interest rates across the globe sent bond prices tumbling.   Fast forward to the final few months of 2023, however, and the outlook is now very different. Bonds have once again found their feet with yields significantly higher across the board and a growing sense that Central Bank rate
Oct 11 2023 Market Update

Inverted yields curves make short-dated bonds more compelling

It is our view that without a doubt 2022 was a year to forget for the bond market. Whether you held government bonds, high end corporate credit or riskier high yield paper, you would have taken a knock as steep increases in interest rates across the globe sent bond prices tumbling. 
Read more
A helpful technical
Jul 07 2023 TwentyFour Blog

A helpful technical

As mid-year investment bank reviews hit our screens, we are seeing a shared expectation of spread decompression between IG and HY bonds, signalling rising defaults. Pierre Beniguel argues that tightening HY spreads and resilient performance suggest surprising sector support due to lower issuance and available cash.
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US debt - stuck in a vicious cycle
Jun 01 2023 TwentyFour Blog

US debt - stuck in a vicious cycle

In recent weeks the US debt ceiling has been dominating headlines with investors focused on the imminent threat of a US default which would be extremely unnerving for global markets. We look at the wider implications facing the US economy.
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Stubborn inflation, cheaper gilts
May 26 2023 TwentyFour Blog

Stubborn inflation, cheaper gilts

Following higher than expected inflation data in the UK, Gordon Shannon looks at the knock on effects within the Gilt market and the increased pressure on the Bank of England.
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Apr 04 2023 TwentyFour Blog

Negative credit migration calls for caution

Despite the recent volatility in the banking sector, corporate credit has remained strong. Pierre Beniguel looks at the interesting rating action which caught attention last week.
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2023-04-12_24_short.term-bonds_teaser.jpg
Mar 28 2023 Viewpoint

Why short dated IG is the “best game in town” for 2023

2022 was the worst year for bonds in living memory. So, could 2023 be similarly bad for other asset classes? Chris Bowie looks at the case for short dated investment grade credit for 2023.
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Mar 02 2023 TwentyFour Blog

February pull-back widens the entry point for fixed income

February was a nasty throwback to the sort of market conditions that battered fixed income in 2022, but the pull-back has given anyone worried they’d missed the January rally an even better opportunity, says Charlene Malik.
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Corporate Bond Fund Update – February 2023
Feb 21 2023 Event Replay

Corporate Bond Fund Update – February 2023

Portfolio managers Chris Bowie and Jack Daley provide an update on the TwentyFour Corporate Bond Fund.
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Feb 14 2023 TwentyFour Blog

UK consumer caution bad for growth, but good for bonds

With UK consumers holding on to more of their pandemic-era savings than their US counterparts, Felipe Villarroel looks at what it means for bond investors.
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