US

An interesting debate, and topic that is attracting plenty of headlines given the recent volatility is where Treasury yields will ultimately settle, with a renewed focus on the neutral rate. Eoin Walsh explores the previous movements of Treasury yields and what Powell is likely to say at Jasckon Hole.

As governments around the world provided support in various manners during the pandemic, savings ratios increased to levels that were twice as large as the previous all time highs in some countries. Felipe Villarroel takes a look at some countries' spending vs savings monthly data patterns and lays out what he thinks this means for fixed income investors.

Bank bonds have been amongst the best performing asset classes in fixed income over the last few months, doing their bit in proving their strength.

What level of risk are investors willing to take? As central bank rates hike and a soft landing narrative makes its way into analysts’ forecasts, Eoin Walsh takes a look at what affects this has on investment risk and reinvestment risk.

What sort of landing will the global economy experience? With the recent release of the US CPI report, inflation has been on a downward trend and the resilient activity data has continued to surprise many. This report has acted as a trigger of sorts for increasing calls for a soft landing.

In recent weeks the US debt ceiling has been dominating headlines with investors focused on the imminent threat of a US default which would be extremely unnerving for global markets. We look at the wider implications facing the US economy.

What do the release of the Fed minutes tell us about the forward path for monetary policy? Danny Zaid argues that for market participants looking for clarity, the minutes, provide more questions than answers.

As we come to the end of a much anticipated earnings season what are the key takeaways?

Following the publication of the Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey, Felipe Villarroel highlights what caught our attention in the report and if it signals further tightening of financial conditions.

Partner and Portfolio Manager Felipe Villarroel looks at new labour market data from the US and why this is good news for the Fed. 

Following a busy quarter in bond markets, a member of our Multi-Sector Bond team reflects on macro events and discusses how our Multi-Sector Bond team have responded.

Partner and Portfolio Manager Chris Bowie discusses recent Q1 events and gives an outlook for Investment Grade for the next quarter.