US

With banks tightening lending criteria in the US, Felipe Villarroel explains why macro trends like this will have more influence on the Fed’s thinking than the recent strong jobs data when it comes to the path for monetary policy.

With 2023’s rally halted by the Fed’s hawkish messaging, Felipe Villarroel questions whether markets read the recent jobs data correctly and looks at what it means for terminal rate expectations.

With risk assets rallying hard in the early weeks of 2023, Chris Holman reviews fundamentals in high yield bonds to see if recent performance has left any value in the market.

When Wall Street’s army of analysts were publishing their outlooks for 2023 back in November, there was very little love for Europe.

Recent employment data suggests the US economy may escape with a soft landing, a welcome boost to market sentiment in the early days of 2023, says Eoin Walsh.

In our annual ‘Rodney Blog’, Eoin Walsh says that with rates now offering both yield and downside mitigation, and credit yields at near-decade highs, fixed income investors could enjoy strong returns in 2023

Following Chairman Powell’s speech last night, George Curtis looks at what the latest labour market data means for the Fed’s war on inflation.

Chris Bowie explains why he believes analysing starting yields can explain improved returns over the next five years

With investors caught between inflation and recession, Chris Bowie argues current valuations in short term, investment grade bonds can offer portfolios both downside protection and attractive yields.

With a US inflation print finally coming in below expectations, can investors start to picture decent returns again? Or will this latest relief rally prove another false dawn?

Credit metrics will continue to deteriorate in the next year or two, but European high yield bonds in particular are pricing in too severe a downturn, says Mark Holman

With central banks speeding through their hiking cycles, a return to rates stability (elusive thus far) could allow investors to reap the rewards of bond yields that are unusually high for this point in the cycle.