Fixed Income

As we approach the end of a year that has seen risk assets shrug off US tariffs and mounting concerns over AI-driven tech valuations, TwentyFour Asset Management’s portfolio management team selects the seven key questions that they believe will define 2026 for fixed income investors.

The terms private credit and life insurance have appeared together in multiple negative headlines in recent weeks, and to casual observers the link between the two may not be immediately obvious.

The wait is over. UK Chancellor Rachel Reeves delivered her much anticipated November Budget on Wednesday, ending weeks of rumours and leaks that had created a general feeling that all measures were on the table – now investors, businesses and taxpayers alike can fill in the empty cells on their spreadsheets and calculate what’s left.

The private credit exposure of life insurance firms, particularly those with private equity (PE) owners, has been drawing the market’s attention in recent weeks.

TwentyFour Select Monthly Income Fund (SMIF) was a winner at this year’s Alternative Credit Awards 2025, taking home the award for Fund of the Year (assets under US $1bn) at last week’s ceremony in London.

For much of the past year, the AI story in markets has been one of unrestrained optimism. Firms have been racing to spend on chips, infrastructure, and data centres, and equity valuations have generally rewarded those with the boldest capital expenditure plans.

The European asset-backed securities (ABS) market, once among the most substantial in global fixed income, has remained subdued since the global financial crisis due to a decade of restrictive regulation.

October brought the first serious bout of volatility in corporate bond markets for some time, with two high-profile US bankruptcies raising fears of a more systemic issue in credit.

For some time now, collateralised loan obligations (CLOs) have in our view been one of the standout risk-adjusted opportunities in all of fixed income, and in recent years (including this one) their performance has lived up to that billing.

Watch our latest European ABS webinar with Rob Ford and Douglas Charleston to gain a deeper understanding of how regulatory reforms are reshaping the European ABS landscape and fuelling investor demand.

There is an emerging sense of unease in the markets around the scale and productivity of corporate investments in AI. As fixed income investors, not equity or tech managers, we will not aim to assess the longevity or possible applications of these nascent technologies, and nor should we opine on when or by how much equity markets might go up or down.

Jerome Powell and his Federal Reserve (Fed) colleagues decided to cut the Fed Funds rate by 25bp to 3.75-4% at last week’s policy meeting, marking 150bp of cuts since the cycle began in September 2024.